By Y. Marcus
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Additional info for 25th International Congress of Pure and Applied Chemistry. Plenary Lectures Presented at the 25th International Congress of Pure and Applied Chemistry, Jerusalem, Israel 6–11 July 1975
FIFTY YEARS OF QUANTUM CHEMISTRY E. , Cambridge, MA 02138, USA Abstract—An assessment of some aspects of the impact of quantum mechanics on chemistry will be attempted, with emphasis on the different ways it has had an important influence. These include a change in the chemists' vocabulary, his way of looking at molecules and reactions, the instruments and methods he uses, the psychological satisfaction he gets from his subject, the procedures he uses to describe and to rationalize his results, as well as direct, partly predictive theories and numerical calculations.
These analyses, therefore, suggest that we have as little as 35 yr, and as much as 50 yr, to change from our present reliance upon the fossil fuels, to the reliance upon other sources (see Table 2). In this time, we should have to accomplish the necessary research and development and then we should have to carry out the collosal task of building the new machinery throughout the developed world. 4. LOGISTICAL AND OTHER DIFFICULTIES \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ 1960 BOCKRIS *w 2080 'S. J 2100 Fig. 5. Elliot and Turner's estimation of the total world fossil fuel production rate as a function of time, taking into account the increasing use of coal to cover the shortfall in petroleum and natural gas.
5, where it follows that the most probable time of exhaustion of coal (according to the Elliott and Turner approach, but see also below) is about 2040 or some 65 yr from now. Thisfigurebegins to show the cause for some degree of tension on the major question as to whether we shall be ready with the inexhaustible resources (built up the world over) in time. 1 / U~26 6*1018B1 U V o U = 155x1018BTU / ΊÏ u-i 35 x101® ETU \ / h 1 / § \ \ \ / k \ \ // // il I i i i i \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \\ ff 1/ 1980 2000 2020 2040 CALENDAR YEAR i i IN THE RELIANCE UPON COAL t i!
25th International Congress of Pure and Applied Chemistry. Plenary Lectures Presented at the 25th International Congress of Pure and Applied Chemistry, Jerusalem, Israel 6–11 July 1975 by Y. Marcus